At the time of writing, it appears that the major networks are in the process of projecting/calling the Presidential election in all 50 states. This gives the following result: Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com This is a bit different from my final prediction. This is something I’ll explore at a laterContinue reading “It’s all called!”
Author Archives: washingtonuk
Finally!
As you’ll have heard, all the major networks (plus AP) have called the race for Biden. There are still some states that have yet to be projected but the overall decision is unanimous. Although it was always unlikely to be called on Election Night, it has been a long wait for US voters and theContinue reading “Finally!”
My final predictions for the race
Unusually for an election cycle, the result is so unlikely to be determined this evening that I feel a bit daft making a prediction that could be proven completely wrong without seeing the whole picture. To account for this (and to add some context), I have produced three potential outcomes. The first and last areContinue reading “My final predictions for the race”
What to expect on election night
This will be quite a brief post ahead of my final prediction for the election. The below is a short list of things to expect tomorrow night. This election is unlike any that has been seen before. You’ll most likely have seen/heard that the turnout is already colossal. This is due to early voting –Continue reading “What to expect on election night”
Swing States – Part 2
In this blog, I’ll be exploring the states which are currently on a knife edge (based on recent polling). The results in these states will ultimately determine the impression of the election. If Trump wins the states, he will likely be within a polling error (or closer) of victory in the states I mentioned yesterday.Continue reading “Swing States – Part 2”
Swing States – Part 1
I’ve held off writing this blog, in order to leave as much time for new polling to come in. After a flurry of new polls yesterday, balanced with the understanding that the key states are not the ones where there is massive movement in these polls, I’ll select two cohorts. Today, I’ll explore four statesContinue reading “Swing States – Part 1”
The US Government – how does it work?
It’s been pointed out to me that I should produce an explainer regarding how the US government works and define some key terms that I throw into blogs without thinking. If you are fairly knowledgeable about this, please feel free to skip this post. If not, please have a read – I’ve broken it downContinue reading “The US Government – how does it work?”
Trump won’t win again, will he? Part 2
Last time, I outlined some of the key issues from 2016 that could have an impact on 2020. In today’s post, I’ll dig into the final few bits of 2016 and look ahead to next Tuesday. The ‘Trump Base’ The group of voters who stand by Trump through thick and thin can be described asContinue reading “Trump won’t win again, will he? Part 2”
Trump won’t win again, will he? Part 1
This is the question I’ve been asked most often in the last 6-12 months. It’s a question which I could spend hours giving a non committal answer to. In this and the forthcoming posts, I’ll unpick the key information which will lead to me giving a prediction map on Tuesday night (which I’m sure willContinue reading “Trump won’t win again, will he? Part 1”
Welcome to Washington GB!
This is the first post of my new blog. I’m a bit of a US politics addict and this blog is designed to act as an outlet for my obsessive interest and a guide to some of the key issues in US politics that is accessible to UK readers. I’ve found that so many USContinue reading “Welcome to Washington GB!”
Washington GB 